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Dr. Jeffery Taubenberger on: New Flu Due?
 Dr. Taubenberger of the Armed Forces Inst. pf Patholgy Listen in Real Audio

Just looking at the clinical records of the past hundred years, I think it's extraordinarily likely that another influenza pandemic will occur. As I've said, they seem to occur with great regularity every 10 to 30 years, and so it has been 30 years since the 1968 pandemic. So the odds are very great, practically a hundred percent, that another pandemic will occur.

Whether the current Hong Kong virus is a virus that has pandemic potential is not yet known, but it's clearly being looked at very, very carefully. So if it really does gain that potential to spread from human to human, I think this will be learned very, very quickly



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